FAA issued a 20-year forecast for aviation to 2030. According the the agency Light-Sport Aircraft sales will grow by 825 per year through 2013 and then taper off to 335 per year. Hmmm? One wonders why it should fall so dramatically and so soon? Except in a lousy 2009, the LSA industry has generously exceeded 335 units per year — and this while the industry also had to build its entire infrastructure: a system of certification, distribution channels, service centers, parts inventory, trained flight instructors, and much more. *** The LSA industry’s best year was 2007 at 565 airplanes. Last year, the figure was only 234 units. In 2006, 491 units were registered and 2008 added 406 units… all numbers relate to new SLSA fixed wing airplanes; add 15-20% for other Light-Sport Aircraft categories as weight-shift, powered parachute, and glider. *** Given Cessna’s 1,000+ Skycatcher backlog, perhaps they’ll build 200-400 per year in 2011, ’12, and ’13.
FAA Forecasts Robust LSA Growth… For A While
Growth Potential -- FAA wrote, "...new light sport aircraft could erode the replacement market for traditional piston aircraft." In 2008 single-engine fixed-wing piston aircraft totaled 166,514 aircraft. Comparable (fully-built) SLSA numbered 1,785 by the end of 2009, or 1.07%. Photos above depict the top four best sellers